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Market

January 2014 Rally as the start of a Bull Market

Vedant Mimani

Almost every analyst in the gold community has been declaring the December 2013 lows the bottom for mining shares, and the January 2014 rally as the start of a bull market. We see this view as wishful thinking and premature. Gold bulls make the following supporting arguments:

1. Gold stocks have rallied 15+% from the December lows (we say: this is undeniable fact, but we see this 15+% up move more as a bear market rally and bear market rallies can fall apart quickly. Moreover, even if we are wrong, odds of a runaway bull market at this time are low, and we will find a more favorable risk/reward setup in which to make the change to a more bullish posture).

Tags: 
Market
Vedant Mimani

Easy Money Now – But What Happens Next?

James Duckworth

We saw this chart recently and could not let it go without comment. It shows how, since inception in December 2008, the Federal Reserve’s Quantitative Easing (QE) program has matched the rise in the S&P 500. With the market just off its all-time high, more than 80% of the index’s rise during this period has taken place when the program has been active. Just as evident, the market has eased during periods when the program has been dormant (the white vertical bars). Global markets have benefited from the Fed’s program, with the countries and blocs carrying out their own QE (the UK, Japan and the Eurozone) enjoying an extra boost.

The Markets' New Buzzword; "Tapering"

Tags: 
Market
Assets
James Duckworth

The Next Online Revolution. The Convergence of Two Dramatic Market Changes

Tim Judd

It has been a turbulent few months for the public ‘dot com’ companies with miss-steps and significant losses hurting investor value on a grand scale.  With all the drama surrounding the spectacular implosion of Facebook and Groupon you could be forgiven for thinking that this well is poisoned and move on in your search for investment opportunity. I'd argue that's an understandable but mistaken assumption.  The fireworks generated by the Facebook debacle shouldn't distract us from the real revolution which is going on, it's happening every day and its front line is in your pocket!

Tags: 
Revolution
Market
Tim Judd

Ambergris Caye’s Real Estate Market Trends

Ann Kuffner Brunette

Hemisphere’s conferences are regularly held on the exotic Caribbean island of Ambergris Caye, Belize. The purpose of each conference is to inform attendees of  their offshore investment options. But at each conference there are also opportunities to learn about a variety of diverse international investments. One of the investment options presented is land or property on the island.

But is investing in real estate on Ambergris Caye a worthwhile investment? This article gives a quick summary of the history of the real estate market on Ambergris Caye since 2008.

Tags: 
Ambergris Caye
Real Estate
Hemispheres
Investment
Market
Ann Kuffner Brunette

Frogs. Are You Being Cooked

John C. Doody

If you put a frog in a pot and slowly turn up the heat, it will happily allow itself to be cooked to death. Mr Frog doesn't realize the danger… that the increasingly warm and comfortable water will kill him... until it does. Myopia is the medical term for being able to see near objects clearly while those in the distance are blurred.

Gold Stock Analyst (GSA) sees too many US investors as focused on the short term, and as a result it is a nation of myopic frogs. Investors believe the US Dollar is a sanctuary for savings, when it is not. Versus the alternative reserve currencies, Euro, Yen and Gold, the Dollar has been the worst performer. But those who don't travel abroad are not aware how warm the water is becoming... just like Mr Frog.

Tags: 
Market
Investor
John C. Doody

Wall Street – the New Gambling Capitol of the World

Michael Cobb

“Wall Street would like us to believe that the stock markets are a logical extension of free market economics, and to a large degree they are. But they may be more than that too.”

Expectations and disappointment go hand in hand.

We’ve all experienced this, haven’t we? Whether it was a birthday, anniversary, job promotion, relationship, we’ve all been disappointed. But that doesn’t stop us from having expectations. They are a natural part of who we are. As humans we have hopes and dreams. But to the extent we rely on those outcomes for our happiness, we create expectations, and thus sometimes, disappointment. It’s a fact of life.

Tags: 
Market
Michael Cobb